CHONE Projected Standings

CHONE projects that the Cardinals are on course to win big an a weak division.

Sean’s comments -

Thanks to resigning Matt Holliday, the St Louis Pujols should have a comfortable season in the NL Central. Most of the teams in that division don’t spend enough money to compete. Then there are the Cubs and Astros, who have spent on some real albatrosses. I like the young talent in Cincinnati, but they probably aren’t ready to challenge Prince Albert just yet.

Considering the current talent, and barring any moves on the part of the competition, it looks like a walk in the park. A lot could change. The Reds and Brewers have the prospects to make moves, if they’re competing I’d look for them to be in the thick of a blockbuster. The Cub’s farm system is also much improved, but they have so little in the way of payroll flexibility with so many commitments.

CAIRO’s projected standings are updated, too. For what it’s worth, the Cubs are the favorite for the wild card. I think people, myself included, have overlooked the Cubs a bit. Aramis Ramirez will be healthy again, Geovany Soto should bounce back, Alfonso Soriano can’t possibly be worse than he was in 2009 (can he?) and their rotation should be very good. Their bullpen looks a bit shaky to me. Still, they are returning much of the same talent that won 97 games just a couple of seasons ago.

W: Average wins over 100 iterations
L: Average losses over 100 iterations
RF: Average runs for/scored over 100 iterations
RA: Average runs allowed over 100 iterations
Div: # of times team won division over 100 iterations
WC: # of times team won wild card over 100 iterations
Std W, RF, RA: W, RF and RA within one standard deviation in either direction

Erik Manning

Erik became addicted to Cardinals baseball as a young lad growing up on the mean streets of O'Fallon, MO. He moved away to Tulsa to attend Bible College, where he met his wife, who talked him into moving to Cedar Rapids, Iowa, also known as the Bermuda triangle of baseball. His dream is to see the MLB.tv blackouts end, and his other interests are theology and philosophy of religion. He is the parent of two young boys.

More Posts