If you frequent here you’ll notice I switched up the post title.  I think I’m going to use this one (Birds on the Brain) for the mini research pieces on the Cards, and use the Around the Diamond posts as link hubs around the inter-webs (both Cardinal and non-Cardinal).  OK, now back to your regularly scheduled programming.

There’s some teeth gnashing going on over the health of Felipe Lopez’s elbow.  Personally I think there are 2 simple solutions.

  1. If it’s bad enough that Lopez can’t play, then DL him and call up Tyler Greene
  2. If he can still PH and/or play 2nd then send down Craig or Stavinoha and call up Greene

As a point of comparison here are the log 5 win percentages for the opener of the Braves series given the starting SS being either Boog, FLIP, or TG.  For Felipe I assumed -4 defense, for TG I assumed -3.

Boog FLIP TG
Braves 0.467 0.468 0.474
Cards 0.533 0.532 0.526

Clearly there’s a difference, but I think TG could hold his own enough to be a viable backup while Lopez is mending.  I see little downside in sending down a corner only OFer (when we have two such guys) and bringing up an IFer for a couple of weeks.

Series Preview will be up in an hour or so.

Steve Sommer

Simulation analyst by day, father and baseball nerd by night

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One Response to “Birds on the Brain 4/26/2010”

  1. I agree, bringing up Greene as a backup seems reasonable, especially since it’s not like any of the OF are hitting. Maybe they’ll do that Tuesday when they activate LaRue, just do all their business at once.

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