Pulling from the 1990-2010 draft data set that I used for the graph of the week.  Here’s how often, by round, that players picked by the Cardinals have made it to MLB.

Interesting spike there in the mid-twenties.  Honestly no idea how this relates to league average, I’ll have to go get some more data to do that comparison.  That said it’s the pattern you’d expect, a linear-ish decline and then a bunch of random humps and bumps the further you get out.

More graphs after the link

Keeping with the same data set, here’s how the Cardinals have spent their 1st round (to include 1st round sandwich picks)

That is a high percentage of RHPers.  And how have those players done in terms of WAR?

Not quite the same ratios eh?  Granted the bulk of that OF is from one player (JD Drew) so maybe in a decade Shelby will be that one pitcher that evens it out.

Steve Sommer

Simulation analyst by day, father and baseball nerd by night

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2 Responses to “More Draft Graphs”

  1. Considering the fact that hitters are more likely than pitchers (of those drafted early) to become successful major leaguers, the disparity between OF and RHP (in this instance) may not be that surprising. It may not mean, for example, that the organization has done a poor job of drafting or developing its pitchers. I’d be interested in knowing if other organizations have experienced a similar disparity between its pitchers and hitters.

    • Definitely agree. Can’t say we’ve been worse than average at pitcher drafting or developing, would need a larger data pull for that.

      Is it signs of an inefficiency though is the question? Just load up on cheap, cost controlled position players and leverage them via trade or salary flexibility for pitching?

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