Bernie beat me to the analytical punch with the info in his article today in the PD (on line version here) and Albert went off last night with two home runs both of which were on the inner half of the plate.  That said I did have a few interesting pieces of info to share that I found in my investigation.  Breaking the plate into 4 horizontal slices and plotting the percentage of pitches in each zone shows that Pujols has been attacked more inside so far this season (SMALL SAMPLE SIZE) than last

The chart is from the catcher’s perspective, so -1 is slightly off the inside corner.  It’s not anything conclusive because of the small sample size, but it is something to keep an eye on the rest of the year to see if the trend continues.

To look into possible causes, I turned to AP’s performance against high velocity to see if there were any indications of a slowing bat.  The following table has the run value per 100 swings against pitches 95 mph and greater by year

2008 2009 2010
rv100 1.81 2.61 -5.15
sample size 98 125 103

I wonder if other teams spotted something similar and are seeing if they can attack more hard in.  We’ll have to wait and see if 2010 was an anomaly or something more.

Steve Sommer

Simulation analyst by day, father and baseball nerd by night

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2 Responses to “Albert and the inside pitch”

  1. Interesting that teams would want to pitch him inside since Albert has shown the ability to pull inside pitches and keep them from hooking foul. Miss by an inch or two and he’s going to make you pay. Curious to see if this is due to a small sample size or if teams think they’ve found a hole, at least temporarily, in Albert’s plate coverage.

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