I must admit I only caught a little bit of the game between work and then chasing after the little guy, so I’m only going on numbers until I watch the DVR’ed copy later tonight. First the WPa chart courtesy of Fangraphs
A game the Cardinals seemed to dominate fell the other way, not the way you want to begin the season.
Matt Holliday’s home run 0.305 WPA
Trever Miller getting Brad Hawpe to fly out 0.139 WPA
Albert Pujols grounding into a DP in the 10th -0.167 WPA
Matt Holliday’s caught stealing in the -0.124 WPA
Brian Augenstein giving up the single to Maybin in the 11th and Theriot committing an error -0.407 WPA
Ryan Franklin giving up a home run to Maybin in the ninth -0.368 WPA
Albert Pujols’ combined WPA of -0.429
On the bright side, Albert Pujols will likely not have another game like that until he’s in the last year of the ten year deal some team is going to give him. Interestingly we had the first Kyle McClellan bullpen outing and it went to Miguel Batista, not surprising given Tony’s love for the proven vet, but not a good sign of things to come either. Franklin worries me independent of the results, but we’ll clearly give him a few more outings before we analyze anything there.
Pitch FX portion of the program
Carp’s fastball velocity was about right where it should be compared to last year given that it’s the first start of the year. The following table summarizes
|Year||+ 1 SD||AVG||- 1 SD|
I’ll be trying to get as many of these game recaps up as I can throughout the season (maybe with the help of the rest of the guys). Clearly once we start to develop some sample sizes I’ll start to do more analysis.